- Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?<1¢
- Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?43¢
- Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?7¢
- Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?<1¢
- Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?<1¢
- Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?48¢
- Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Waymo’s 2026 expansion momentum—adding public service in Nashville, Dallas, and Houston while moving Las Vegas, San Diego, Tampa, and Denver from employee-only driverless runs toward full rider access—keeps the 12–15 and 16–19 city ranges nearly tied in trader sentiment. Recent California Public Utilities Commission approval for 18 counties, including Sacramento and broader San Diego coverage, plus next-generation Ojai fleet scaling and partnerships, support faster growth. Offsetting factors include pending regulatory changes in Washington, D.C., cold-weather validation needs in Detroit, and typical timelines for mapping, permitting, and public launch after initial supervised or employee operations. These variables create tight implied probabilities around mid-teens cities by year-end.