- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 4?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 4?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 4?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 4?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 4?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 4?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are expected to suppress daytime solar heating across Taipei on September 4, keeping maximum temperatures moderate amid a moist, unstable airmass typical of early September. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to highs near 27–29°C under persistent overcast conditions, while ensemble models show modest spread from variable rain timing and potential brief clearing that could allow brief warming to 30–32°C. Market-implied odds cluster around these central outcomes because traders weigh the balance between heavy precipitation reducing insolation versus any steering-pattern shifts that might ease convective activity. Updated CWA and global model runs over the next 24 hours will refine peak-temperature thresholds ahead of resolution.