- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 6?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 6?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 6?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 6?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 6?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high near 23–24°C for Munich on September 6, 2026, under clear skies and light northeasterly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This setup favors efficient daytime solar heating above the long-term average high of 21.2°C for the date, while a preceding frontal passage on September 5 introduces cooler air that caps further warming. Market-implied odds cluster on 24°C and 23°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from any model drift toward clearer or warmer conditions. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary Munich station, typically aligned with these consensus projections.