- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 6?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 6?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 6?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 6?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 98°F or higher on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on September 6?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a daily maximum in the low 90s for Denver on September 6, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Afternoon heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports temperatures reaching or slightly exceeding 90°F, yet scattered thunderstorm development—forecast with 20-40% probability—could limit the peak if storms initiate earlier or produce more widespread cloud cover and outflow. Ensemble spread and local variations in convective timing introduce the primary uncertainty, consistent with historical September variability where highs have ranged from the mid-70s to upper 90s. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of the official observation used for market resolution.