- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 8?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 8?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 8?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 8?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 8?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on September 8?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s September 8 peak temperature clusters tightly around 37–38 °C because ensemble forecasts show a strong subtropical high maintaining clear skies and southerly advection of warm, moist air, with model spreads of roughly 1 °C driven by variable low-level cloud cover and urban heat-island amplification. Recent surface observations near 36 °C and continued subsidence inversion support the slight edge for 38 °C, while any earlier-than-expected cold-front passage or convective initiation could cap readings at 37 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24-hour verification window.