- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?9¢
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?7¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Recent cooldowns in Elon Musk’s X activity have anchored trader sentiment around the 200–259 tweet range for the August 25–September 1 window, with those brackets holding the highest implied probabilities near 13%. Trackers show weekly totals fluctuating sharply in 2026, with recent stretches averaging closer to 120–250 posts amid lower daily pacing of roughly 30–50, compared to earlier spikes exceeding 300–400. Business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, plus any political or platform announcements, remain the main swing factors that could push volume higher or sustain quieter output. With the week just beginning and no single dominant catalyst locked in, the market reflects broad uncertainty over whether engagement rebounds toward historical norms or stays muted.