- Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31?1¢1 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $767,000 and $788,000 on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31?4¢4 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?26¢26 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?54¢54 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $851,000 and $870,000 on December 31?9¢9 %
- Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31?8¢8 %
- 1,1 %<$767KVolum 2,3k $
- 0,2 %$767K - $788KVolum 3,1k $
- 2 %4,3 %$788K - $809KVolum 4,3k $
- 2 %26 %$809K - $830KVolum 12,4k $
- 3 %54,4 %$830K - $851KVolum 13,9k $
- 2 %9,2 %$851K - $870KVolum 3k $
- 2 %8,1 %$870K+Volum 3k $
Miami's median home value market reflects a balanced-to-soft environment shaped by elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 7%, rising inventory in condo segments, and resilient luxury demand from wealth migration. Recent October 2026 data show Miami-Dade single-family medians near $710,000 with modest year-over-year gains in some reports, while overall city medians hover around $570,000–$690,000 amid 49–84 days on market and 16–21% price cuts, indicating limited broad appreciation pressure. Strong single-family sales and record $10 million+ transactions support higher-end outcomes, yet softening broader sales and seasonal patterns into year-end temper upside. Trader consensus around the $830K–$851K range aligns with these dynamics, where sustained rates and supply growth cap momentum absent a sharp labor or policy shift before December 31.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/55)