- Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?43¢43 %
- Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?28¢28 %
- Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?6¢6 %
- Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?5¢5 %
- Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?5¢5 %
- Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?5¢5 %
- Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Tencent be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?1¢1 %
- Will Meituan be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?1¢1 %
7 %43 %GoogleVolum 10,8k $
2 %28 %OpenAIVolum 14,1k $
5,7 %DeepSeekVolum 544 $
5,2 %AnthropicVolum 989,6 $
5 %SpaceXAIVolum 1,4k $
4,6 %MetaVolum 2,3k $
3,6 %MoonshotVolum 3,1k $
2,2 %XiaomiVolum 388 $
2,2 %TencentVolum 925,3 $
1,6 %Z.aiVolum 388 $
1,4 %NvidiaVolum 328,3 $
1,2 %MeituanVolum 341 $
Google holds a slight edge in trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of November due to its extensive research infrastructure, Gemini model integrations, and agentic capabilities demonstrated across search and enterprise tools. The tight clustering around 50% for numerous contenders highlights intense competition among established players and emerging labs, where factors like model release velocity, benchmark performance on agent tasks, and developer ecosystem strength remain key swing variables. OpenAI trails at 33% amid ongoing scaling debates, while lower odds for Anthropic, Meta, and others reflect perceived gaps in specialized agent tooling. With resolution weeks away, any late-November announcements on new large language model features or partnerships could shift the aggregated capital-backed consensus.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".