- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?8¢8 %
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?9¢9 %
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?22¢22 %
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?28¢28 %
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?25¢25 %
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?18¢18 %
- 3 %8,4 %<$6,000Volum 31,7k $
- 3 %9,2 %$6,000-$6,500Volum 3,6k $
- 8 %22 %$6,500-$7,000Volum 5,9k $
- 8 %28,5 %$7,000-$7,500Volum 3,6k $
- 1 %25 %$7,500-$8,000Volum 5,2k $
- 10 %17,5 %>$8,000Volum 8,1k $
Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 year-end 2026 close reflects a tightly contested range near current levels around 7,400–7,700 amid post-election volatility and mixed economic signals. Strong Q3 2026 GDP growth of 3.4% annualized supports higher outcomes near or above 8,000, yet September PCE inflation at 3.6% and core at 3.1% keep rate-hike odds elevated for the December FOMC meeting, capping upside while the 4.2% unemployment rate signals labor-market cooling that could weigh on earnings momentum. Analyst consensus targets cluster near 7,967–8,000, aligning with the balanced probabilities across the $7,000–$8,000 buckets and underscoring uncertainty over whether inflation moderation or persistent growth will dominate the final weeks.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."