- Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?89¢89 %
- Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?88¢88 %
- Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?86¢86 %
- Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?86¢86 %
- Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?60¢60 %
- Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?41¢41 %
- Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?37¢37 %
- Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢23 %
- Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?17¢17 %
- Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?7¢7 %
- Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5 %
- Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5 %
- 88,6 %The InviteVolum 1,9k $
- 3 %88 %Project Hail MaryVolum 5,3k $
- 5 %86,4 %The OdysseyVolum 1,5k $
- 86 %The Black BallVolum 4,5k $
- 5 %60 %All of a SuddenVolum 2,6k $
- 41 %Dune: Part ThreeVolum 4,4k $
- 4 %36,7 %The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff BoothVolum 7,1k $
- 1 %22,5 %InkVolum 3,6k $
- 1 %17 %ClarissaVolum 2,9k $
- 4 %6,7 %The Social ReckoningVolum 1,2k $
- 5 %WildwoodVolum 1,9k $
- 4,9 %Toy Story 5Volum 8,5k $
La Bola Negra leads early trader sentiment for Best Adapted Screenplay nominations at the 2027 Oscars thanks to its inventive blending of Federico García Lorca’s unfinished play fragment with Alberto Conejero’s work, earning widespread critical praise for its audacious structure and cultural resonance. Strong competition comes from Rashida Jones and Will McCormack’s ensemble-driven take on the Spanish play in The Invite, Christopher Nolan’s epic Homer adaptation The Odyssey, the Andy Weir novel Project Hail Mary, and the anticipated Dune: Part Three. With the eligibility period closing December 31 and nominations set for January 21, late December releases and precursor awards from critics’ groups and guilds will shape momentum. Traders note the category’s overlap with likely Best Picture contenders, where historical voting patterns often reward bold literary reinterpretations over straightforward transfers.
Regler
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.