- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?11¢11 %
Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in US-Israeli strikes, an event in which Mojtaba was reportedly injured. Since then he has issued only written statements and conducted private meetings with officials such as the president and judiciary chief, with no independently verified photographs or videos released. Iranian diplomats and state media attribute the absence to heightened security risks amid ongoing regional conflict, while affirming his health and continued exercise of authority. Trader consensus reflects these constraints, as public exposure would require either a deliberate policy shift or a major scheduled event such as a national memorial or Friday prayer that draws credible visual confirmation. De-escalation in hostilities or internal pressure for visible leadership could alter the timeline before year-end.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.