- Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?40¢40 %
- Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?28¢28 %
- Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?13¢13 %
- Will Emma Stone be the live-action Gwen Stacy?<1¢<1 %
- Will Kiernan Shipka be the live-action Gwen Stacy?<1¢<1 %
- Will Sadie Sink be the live-action Gwen Stacy?<1¢<1 %
- Will Ester Expósito be the live-action Gwen Stacy?<1¢<1 %
- Will Emily Rudd be the live-action Gwen Stacy?<1¢<1 %
- 17 %40 %No actor chosen by end of 2027Volum 17,1k $
4 %27,5 %Emma MyersVolum 5,8k $
12,5 %McKenna GraceVolum 12,4k $
0,3 %Emma StoneVolum 349,9 $
0,2 %Kiernan ShipkaVolum 384,2 $
0,2 %Sadie SinkVolum 456 $
The market's evenly distributed probabilities around 50% for most listed actresses underscore the absence of a clear frontrunner in early casting speculation for a live-action Gwen Stacy film. Emma Myers leads at 27.5% on the strength of her rising profile and versatile recent roles, while McKenna Grace sits at 12.5% due to her established genre experience, yet neither has secured decisive industry momentum. The 41.5% chance that no casting occurs by end of 2027 reflects typical studio timelines for Marvel-adjacent projects, where guild awards, screen tests, and fan sentiment can shift quickly without confirmed announcements. Differentiating factors include age fit, prior superhero-adjacent work, and critical reception of upcoming releases, leaving room for late surges or surprises.
Regler
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.