- Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?62¢62 %
- Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?21¢21 %
- Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?8¢8 %
- Will Geese win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?3¢3 %
- Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?1¢1 %
- Will PARTYOF2 win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Bella Kay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will CMAT win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Loe Shimmy win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will The Beaches win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Magdalena Bay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?<1¢<1 %
5 %61,5 %Ella LangleyVolum 18,7k $
5 %21 %SIENNA SPIROVolum 10,7k $
5 %7,8 %SlayyyterVolum 1,5k $
3 %2,9 %GeeseVolum 1,3k $
1 %1 %AdélaVolum 875,8 $
1 %PARTYOF2Volum 771 $
2 %0,8 %Renee RappVolum 1,6k $
0,7 %Bella KayVolum 744,4 $
1 %0,7 %CMATVolum 865,2 $
0,6 %Loe ShimmyVolum 782,1 $
0,6 %The BeachesVolum 776,2 $
1 %0,5 %Magdalena BayVolum 1,1k $
Ella Langley’s record-shattering 2026 campaign, anchored by “Choosin’ Texas” extending its Billboard Hot 100 reign to 27 weeks and Dandelion debuting at No. 1, has established her as the clear market frontrunner at 62% implied probability for the 2027 Grammys Best New Artist. Traders see her as the strongest country crossover since Zac Brown Band, bolstered by multiple additional No. 1s, sold-out arena and stadium dates, and a rule change extending eligibility to four entries. Sienna Spiro at 20% trails as the nearest alternative, while lower-priced names like Slayyyter, Geese, and CMAT reflect niche critical support without comparable commercial momentum. Nominations arrive November 16, after which guild and critic signals could refine the field ahead of the ceremony.
Regler
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.