- Will Alvaro Arbeloa be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?41¢41 %
- Will Matthias Jaissle be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?40¢40 %
- Will Marco Rose be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?29¢29 %
- Will Sergej Jakirovic be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?28¢28 %
- Will Keith Andrews be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?26¢26 %
- Will Gary O'Neil be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?26¢26 %
- Will Oliver Glasner be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?22¢22 %
- Will Regis Le Bris be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?13¢13 %
- Will Pierre Sage be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?<1¢<1 %
- 3 %41,3 %Alvaro ArbeloaVolum 55 $
- 9 %40,4 %Matthias JaissleVolum 223 $
- 20 %29,2 %Marco RoseVolum 219,2 $
- 22 %27,5 %Sergej JakirovicVolum 314 $
- 13 %25,8 %Keith AndrewsVolum 58 $
- 13 %25,7 %Gary O'NeilVolum 58 $
- 17 %22 %Oliver GlasnerVolum 164 $
- 25 %13,1 %Regis Le BrisVolum 264,7 $
- 44 %0,7 %Pierre SageVolum 453,2 $
Manchester United's dismal 2026-27 start, with just one Premier League win in ten games and a drop into the relegation zone, has driven Michael Carrick to the front of the sack race at 54.5 percent implied probability. A string of poor results, including heavy defeats and failure to build on last season's late surge, prompted the club's hierarchy to act during the international break. Multiple other managers sit clustered near 50 percent or slightly below due to similarly shaky early form at clubs like Crystal Palace and Sunderland, where defensive frailties and inconsistent results have kept pressure high without a clear frontrunner emerging. This tight distribution reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in several comparable situations across the division, where recent results and underlying performance metrics leave room for any of the group to become the next casualty.
Regler
This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. If no Premier League managers are fired by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official Premier League communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.