- Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?11¢11 %
- Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?68¢68 %
- 1 %11 %December 31, 2026Volum 262,5k $
- 67,5 %December 31, 2027Volum 137,8k $
OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an internal multi-agent system produced a Lean-formalized proof establishing finite-time singularity for the forced Navier-Stokes equations—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has shifted trader expectations for additional AI-driven solutions. The result, achieved in roughly 88 hours by thousands of agents, followed closely by claims on aspects of Yang-Mills theory and solutions to hundreds of other open math problems, underscores rapid gains in large language model reasoning, formal verification, and autonomous collaboration. Rival labs including Anthropic have pursued parallel human-AI work on related fluid equations, highlighting competitive pressure, while the Clay Mathematics Institute’s deliberately slow review process leaves official recognition pending. Traders are watching for further internal model releases, major developer conferences, and any new claims on the five unsolved problems before year-end 2027.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.