- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?74¢74%
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?26¢26%
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?<1¢<1%
- 1%74%Avengers: Doomsday$ 189,1K vol.
- 1%26%Spider-Man: Brand New Day$ 134,5K vol.
Avengers: Doomsday’s unprecedented presales—already exceeding $65 million domestically and $125 million worldwide with roughly six weeks until its December 18 release—have established it as the clear market favorite for 2026’s biggest opening weekend. The Russo brothers’ Marvel crossover benefits from sustained early demand across premium formats, international records in markets like the UK and Brazil, and aggressive projections that place its domestic debut in the $260–300 million range, with some trackers eyeing even higher figures. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic launch in July remains the benchmark to beat, yet Doomsday’s momentum has shifted trader consensus toward a potential new high. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah face far smaller scale, with the former tracking for a $60–70 million November debut and the latter competing directly on the same date but projected to trail significantly. Final marketing pushes and preview numbers ahead of December 18 will determine whether Doomsday surpasses the existing mark.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.