- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?6¢6%
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?6¢6%
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?4¢4%
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?3¢3%
- Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?3¢3%
- Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?3¢3%
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?3¢3%
- Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?3¢3%
- Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?2¢2%
- Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?2¢2%
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?2¢2%
- Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?2¢2%
5,5%Lebanon$ 130,9K vol.
5,5%Venezuela$ 399,6K vol.
3,7%Saudi Arabia$ 90,1K vol.
3,3%Pakistan$ 29,4K vol.
3,3%Kuwait$ 32,8K vol.
3,2%Indonesia$ 31,3K vol.
2,7%Qatar$ 52,4K vol.
2,6%Malaysia$ 15,8K vol.
2%North Korea$ 26,2K vol.
2%Cuba$ 19K vol.
1,9%Syria$ 24,1K vol.
1,7%Afghanistan$ 47K vol.
Recent diplomatic milestones center on Israel's deepening ties with Somaliland, where the first Israeli ambassador presented credentials in Hargeisa in late October 2026 following mutual recognition in December 2025, alongside Somaliland's Jerusalem embassy. Colombia relocated its embassy to Jerusalem in mid-October, restoring full relations after a prior rupture. Broader UN member recognition stands near 169 states as of early 2026, with the remaining non-recognizers concentrated among certain Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members. Upgrades to existing ties, such as planned ambassador exchanges with Morocco, continue under the Abraham Accords framework, though procedural and regional constraints limit near-term additions by December 31. Trader assessments reflect these incremental steps against persistent barriers to new formal recognitions.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.