- Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?83¢83%
- Will Italy win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?11¢11%
- Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?2¢2%
- 1%83%France$ 13,9K vol.
- 11%Italy$ 5,8K vol.
- 1%2%Belgium$ 3,9K vol.
France leads Group A1 of the UEFA Nations League 2026-27 with 10 points from four matches and a +5 goal difference, placing it well ahead of Italy on seven points and Belgium on six. Trader consensus reflects this through France's elevated implied probability, driven by an unbeaten record that includes a 4-1 comeback victory over Belgium and consistent results against Türkiye. The remaining fixtures—Italy hosting France on November 12 and France facing Türkiye on November 15—offer the leaders multiple paths to secure the group title and quarter-final qualification. Italy and Belgium remain mathematically alive but trail significantly, with their lower probabilities aligning with recent form and head-to-head outcomes in the league phase.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.