- Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?16¢16%
- Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?70¢70%
- Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?26¢26%
- Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?42¢42%
- 1%16%VAT federal decree$ 10,4K vol.
- 5%70%Fireworks restriction initiative$ 20,9K vol.
- 5%25,5%Marriage taxation initiative$ 9,8K vol.
- 2%42%War Material amendment$ 3,2K vol.
Switzerland's November 29 referendum features four proposals: a 0.4-point VAT increase to fund the 13th AHV pension payment (government-supported constitutional change requiring a double majority of popular vote and cantons), a popular initiative restricting noisy fireworks (opposed by parliament), a Center Party initiative ending the "marriage penalty" in federal taxation (also opposed), and an amendment to the War Materiel Act easing arms exports to listed partner states (government-backed, no Ständemehr required). Recent YouGov polling shows the fireworks and marriage-tax initiatives leading with majority support, while the AHV funding and arms-export measures trail or sit near parity amid high undecided shares on the latter. Campaign focus centers on pension sustainability, environmental noise, tax fairness, and defense-industry access to European markets ahead of the vote.
Regels
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.