- Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?56¢56%
- Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢23%
- Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?9¢9%
- Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?7¢7%
- Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?6¢6%
- Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will Samantha Morton win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1%
- Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1%
- Will Zendaya win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Margaret Qualley win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
6%55,5%Anne Hathaway$ 42,3K vol.
3%23,4%Amanda Seyfried$ 10,3K vol.
8,5%Penélope Cruz$ 3,1K vol.
1%7,3%Tao Okamoto$ 2,6K vol.
6,3%Kate O'Flynn$ 562,1 vol.
4,4%Sandra Hüller$ 986,7 vol.
1%4%Samantha Morton$ 488,2 vol.
1,5%Inde Navarrette$ 1,1K vol.
1,1%Mariana di Girolamo$ 663,3 vol.
0,9%Zendaya$ 553,6 vol.
0,4%Gemma Chan$ 479,6 vol.
0,3%Margaret Qualley$ 596,8 vol.
Anne Hathaway leads the market at a 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress winner, reflecting early trader positioning around her established industry profile and anticipated 2026 projects. The field remains wide open, with dozens of actresses priced at 50% and lower-tier names like Zendaya, Penélope Cruz, and Sandra Hüller trailing far behind, underscoring the absence of clear frontrunners this far ahead of the ceremony. At this stage, odds capture sentiment on name recognition, historical awards trajectories, and announced roles rather than guild or critics' results. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and the first round of precursor nominations, which could consolidate support or introduce new contenders as campaigns gain momentum.
Regels
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.