- Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?95¢95%
- Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?91¢91%
- Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?59¢59%
- Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?52¢52%
- Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?43¢43%
- Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?41¢41%
- Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢23%
- Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?14¢14%
- Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?12¢12%
- Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5%
- Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5%
- Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5%
- 2%95%The Debut$ 3,4K vol.
- 1%91%Wild Horse Nine$ 2,6K vol.
- 1%59%Club Kid$ 9,4K vol.
- 6%51,5%Obsession$ 26,9K vol.
- 3%43%Fjord$ 3,2K vol.
- 4%41%Elsinore$ 4,3K vol.
- 1%23%Digger$ 15,8K vol.
- 1%14%Behemoth!$ 6,7K vol.
- 6%12%Josephine$ 1,1K vol.
- 1%5,2%Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma$ 5,8K vol.
- 4,9%Fatherland$ 821,3 vol.
- 1%4,7%Forgotten Island$ 7,9K vol.
Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine” leads early trader consensus for Best Original Screenplay nominations at the 2027 Oscars, driven by the writer-director’s strong critical reception and veteran status among past nominees yet to win. Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” and Mike Leigh’s “Tender Loving Care” follow closely, with industry narratives highlighting overdue recognition for established auteurs alongside emerging contenders like Simon Rich’s “Artificial.” Recent fall festival results and November predictions from Variety and the Los Angeles Times underscore a field shaped by personal stories and guild momentum. Traders should watch the Governors Awards on November 15 and critics’ circle announcements in December, as precursor wins often signal screenplay shortlist placement ahead of nominations voting in January 2027.
Regels
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.