- Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?83¢83%
- Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?12¢12%
- Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2%
- Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2%
- Will Virginie Efira win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Emily Blunt win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Rachel Brosnahan win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1%
7%83%Julianne Moore$ 108,4K vol.
5%11,5%Inde Navarrette$ 33,9K vol.
4,4%Sandra Hüller$ 4,4K vol.
2,1%Renate Reinsve$ 15,1K vol.
1,8%Scarlett Johansson$ 1,8K vol.
0,6%Virginie Efira$ 608,2 vol.
0,6%Emily Blunt$ 698,7 vol.
0,6%Mikey Madison$ 487,6 vol.
0,5%Rachel Brosnahan$ 606,9 vol.
0,5%Cynthia Erivo$ 625,7 vol.
0,4%Olivia Wilde$ 602,6 vol.
0,3%Ruth Madeley$ 1,1K vol.
Julianne Moore holds overwhelming market-implied odds as the 2027 Best Actress frontrunner thanks to her critically acclaimed lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy The Debut, which has drawn strong festival buzz for her comedic range as a housewife consumed by a community-theater role. Recent screenings and the film’s trailer release have reinforced this consensus among awards predictors, with the performance positioned as a rare crowd-pleasing standout in a competitive year. Contenders including Inde Navarrette in Obsession, Olivia Wilde in The Invite, and Sandra Hüller in Rose trail significantly, though they could gain traction via guild nominations or late reviews. The race remains fluid ahead of the January 2027 nominations and March ceremony, with Moore’s campaign momentum currently driving trader sentiment.
Regels
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.