- Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?60¢60%
- Will Darian Mensah be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?29¢29%
- Will Sam Leavitt be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?22¢22%
- Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?14¢14%
- Will Josh Hoover be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?4¢4%
- Will CJ Carr be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?3¢3%
- Will Demond Williams be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?2¢2%
- Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?2¢2%
- Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?2¢2%
- Will Gunner Stockton be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?1¢1%
- Will Brendan Sorsby be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?1¢1%
- Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?1¢1%
- 43%60,4%Drew Mestemaker$ 3,5K vol.
- 25%28,7%Darian Mensah$ 415,4 vol.
- 20%22,2%Sam Leavitt$ 1,2K vol.
- 1%14,1%Noah Fifita$ 2,6K vol.
- 3,7%Josh Hoover$ 554,7 vol.
- 2,8%CJ Carr$ 264,8 vol.
- 2,1%Demond Williams$ 496,5 vol.
- 1,7%Devon Dampier$ 1,6K vol.
- 1,6%Bear Bachmeier$ 979,7 vol.
- 1,5%Gunner Stockton$ 264,4 vol.
- 1,2%Brendan Sorsby$ 2,1K vol.
- 1%1,2%Jayden Maiava$ 6,6K vol.
Drew Mestemaker holds the highest implied probability at 55.8% among candidates for the 2026 NCAA D1 passing yards leader, driven by his 329-yard average through nine games and Oklahoma State's high-output offense. Braden Atkinson leads actual totals near 3,170 yards, but several quarterbacks including Sam Leavitt, Noah Fifita, Tayven Jackson, and Marcus Stokes sit within a few hundred yards, with multiple regular-season games remaining. The tight clustering of probabilities near 50% for numerous names reflects variable passing volume, schedule difficulty, and potential late surges or weather impacts that can alter final totals in a competitive race.
Regels
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.