Antoni Fabre holds an 82% implied probability in this M15 Antalya clay-court first-round match due to his substantially higher ATP ranking near 1033 compared with Vladimir Osminkin’s position beyond 2260, combined with a far stronger 2026 win rate and results against comparable Futures opposition. Fabre has posted multiple victories on clay this season, including a three-set win in the prior Antalya event, while reaching the second round before falling to a seeded player. Osminkin, by contrast, enters with just one win in his last nine matches, suffering straight-sets defeats to higher-ranked opponents such as Amir Omarkhanov and recent Antalya losses that highlight ongoing consistency issues on the surface. The sizable ranking and form gap underpins the market’s consensus favoring the Frenchman.
Regels
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Antoni Fabre in the M15 Antalya, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Antoni Fabre.
This market will resolve to 'Antoni Fabre' if Antoni Fabre advances against Vladimir Osminkin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.