- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?6¢6%
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?7¢7%
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?25¢25%
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?39¢39%
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by December 31?52¢52%
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 65% by December 31?83¢83%
- 1%5,8%90%$ 3,4K vol.
- 7,4%85%$ 5,4K vol.
- 24,5%80%$ 14K vol.
- 6%39,1%75%$ 25,4K vol.
- 51,5%70%$ 138 vol.
- 83%65%$ 1,3K vol.
Polymarket faces intensifying competition from Kalshi, which has overtaken it in monthly trading volume thanks to expanded partnerships like the FIFA World Cup, prompting recent workforce reductions and contractor terminations as the platform reorganizes under investor pressure. Leadership additions, including a new CFO from Amazon and a chief growth officer from Uber, coincide with a reported $1 billion funding round at a $21 billion valuation led by 1789 Capital. Product initiatives such as the phased Protocol V2 rollout beginning November 23, Nex engine testing for higher throughput, expanded commodity markets via Chainlink oracles, and new sports integrations with UFC, DAZN, and the NBA could sustain visibility through December. Regulatory scrutiny, including ongoing CFTC reviews and a prior security incident, adds uncertainty that traders weigh against these catalysts when assessing year-end mindshare levels.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.