- Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?8¢
- Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?9¢
- Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?14¢
- Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?11¢
- Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?14¢
- Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?14¢
- Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?14¢
- Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?10¢
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Recent Bloomberg reports of Oura pursuing a potential September 2026 U.S. IPO at a valuation above $16 billion—potentially raising up to $3 billion with significant secondary sales—anchor trader sentiment for the closing market cap. This marks a sharp step-up from the $10.9–11 billion post-money valuation in its October 2025 Series E round, supported by revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026 from roughly $500 million in 2024. With probabilities tightly clustered across $10–20 billion+ bins, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over final pricing multiples, execution amid rising competition from Samsung’s Galaxy Ring and Whoop’s $10 billion mark, and broader IPO window conditions. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review completion and any pre-listing earnings updates.