- 2026년 9월 30일까지 Gemini 4.0이 출시되나요?19¢
- 2026년 8월 31일까지 Gemini 4.0이 출시됩니까?2¢
- 제미니 4.0이 2026년 9월 15일까지 출시되었나요?11¢
- Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?61¢
- 2026년 11월 30일까지 Gemini 4.0이 출시되었습니까?86¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Google confirmed in late July 2026 that it had begun pre-training Gemini 4, calling it the company’s most ambitious frontier run yet and describing the model as significantly larger than prior versions to advance capabilities in coding and agentic tasks. CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted internal progress during the Q2 earnings call while noting plans for faster iteration overall, though 3.5 Pro has faced delays into partner testing. No release date or benchmarks have been shared, but Google’s historical six-month training-to-launch cycles point to a likely November or December debut. Traders are monitoring API listings, future earnings commentary, and competitive releases from OpenAI and Anthropic as key signals that could shift timing expectations.