- 2026년 9월 회의 이후 영란은행 금리에 변화 없음?92¢
- 2026년 9월 회의 이후 영란은행이 기준금리를 50bp 이상 인하합니까?<1¢
- 2026년 9월 회의 이후 영란은행이 기준금리를 25bp 인상했나요?9¢
- 잉글랜드 은행이 2026년 9월 회의 후 금리를 25bp 인하합니까?<1¢
- 영란은행이 2026년 9월 회의 이후 기준금리를 50bp 이상 인상합니까?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Bank Rate stands at 3.75% after the July 2026 MPC vote (6-3 hold). July CPI rose to 2.9% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in June and above the 2% target, yet the Bank highlighted that inflation had declined faster than anticipated before volatile energy prices—driven by Middle East tensions—risk pushing it higher later in the year. This backdrop, combined with the latest SONIA futures and economist polls showing overwhelming expectations of another hold on 17 September, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no change. A clear break higher in August CPI (due 16 September) or firmer wage and services inflation could lift the odds of the 25 basis point hike priced at 8.8%, while unexpectedly soft growth or labor data might reopen cut prospects currently below 1%.