- 『ハンガー・ゲーム0：夜明けの収穫』は2026年に国内最高のオープニング週末成績を記録するでしょうか？<1¢
- 2026年に『デューン：メサイア』は国内オープニング週末興行収入で最高記録を出すでしょうか？<1¢
- スパイダーマン：ブランド・ニュー・デイは2026年に国内で最高のオープニング週末を記録しますか？65¢
- アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは2026年に国内で最高のオープニング週末興行収入を記録するでしょうか？36¢
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has anchored trader consensus, fueled by exceptional presales, premium-format performance, and critical reception that exceeded even Avengers: Endgame benchmarks. Avengers: Doomsday holds the next-largest share on the strength of early trailer momentum, Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom casting, and robust December presales, though it must surpass the July mark in a crowded holiday frame to claim the title. Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail far behind, limited by later or overlapping release dates and comparatively muted early tracking for opening-weekend scale. Upcoming December chart updates and holiday tracking will determine whether Marvel’s Avengers entry can close the gap.