2026年には、ニューヨーク市の住民の間で西ナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が何件報告される予定ですか?
科学天気パンデミックニューヨーク気候と科学アウトブレイク
開始日時
2026-08-20
終了日時
2027-04-01
24時間出来高
$3K
総出来高
$26K
  • 2026年にNYC住民の間でウエストナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が20件未満になりますか?<1¢
  • 2026年にNYC住民の間で20から34件の西ナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が発生しますか?13¢
  • 2026年にNYC住民の間で、ウエストナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が35~49件発生しますか?34¢
  • 2026年にニューヨーク市の住民の間で、西ナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が50例以上発生しますか?52¢

This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page. Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap. The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure. If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time. If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.

2026年には、ニューヨーク市の住民の間で西ナイル神経侵襲性疾患の症例が何件報告される予定ですか?