TN -05下院選挙勝利マージン
政治選挙勝利のマージン中間選挙下院選挙テネシー州中間選挙中間選挙の得票差
開始日時
2026-08-11
終了日時
2026-11-04
24時間出来高
$2K
総出来高
$11K
  • 2026年のテネシー州第5選挙区下院選挙で共和党候補が21%以上の差で勝利しますか?11¢
  • 共和党の候補者は2026年のTN-05下院選挙で18〜21%の差で勝利しますか?14¢
  • 共和党候補は2026年のTN-05下院選挙で15%から18%の差で勝利しますか?11¢
  • 2026年TN-05下院選挙で共和党の候補者が12%~15%の差で勝利しますか?17¢
  • 2026年のテネシー州第5区下院選挙で共和党候補が9%〜12%の差で勝利しますか?25¢
  • 共和党候補は2026年のTN-05下院選挙で6%~9%の差で勝利しますか?16¢
  • 2026年のTN-05下院選挙で共和党候補が3〜6%の差で勝利しますか?14¢
  • 共和党の候補者は2026年TN-05下院選挙で0%〜3%の差で勝利しますか?10¢
  • 民主党候補は2026年のテネシー第5区下院選挙で0%から3%の差で勝利しますか?4¢
  • 2026年TN-05下院選挙で民主党候補が3%以上の差で勝利しますか?2¢

The 2026 TN-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 TN-05 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

TN -05下院選挙勝利マージン

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