- MrBeastの次の動画は初日に1500万回未満の再生数になるか？<1¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は公開初日に1,500万〜2,000万回再生されますか？5¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は公開初日に2,000万〜2,500万回再生されますか？11¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は初日に2,500万〜3,000万回再生されますか？30¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は公開初日に3,000万〜3,500万回再生されますか？26¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は、公開初日に3,500万〜4,000万回再生されるでしょうか？22¢
- MrBeastの次の動画は初日に少なくとも4,000万回再生されますか？13¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Recent MrBeast long-form challenge videos have delivered first-day view counts clustered in the 25–35 million range, which explains why trader consensus places the strongest implied probabilities on the 25–30M and 30–35M brackets. His 515-million-subscriber channel maintains steady launch momentum through regular Saturday releases, high-production stunts, and cross-platform promotion, yet totals vary with topic appeal, algorithmic push, and competing content. The narrow historical band around these figures, rather than consistent 40M+ spikes, underpins the closely matched odds across mid-range outcomes while underscoring the inherent variability in day-one performance.