- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 38 million views in week 1?72¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38 and 40 million views in week 1?22¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 42 million views in week 1?7¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 44 million views in week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 46 million views in week 1?2¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 46 and 48 million views in week 1?2¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 48 and 50 million views in week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 52 million views in week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get at least 52 million views in week 1?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Trader sentiment heavily favors the <38M bracket at 70% implied probability because the "World's Largest Minecraft Build!" video, uploaded August 29-30, 2026, has shown slower initial velocity than recent MrBeast Gaming releases. Early tracking placed it in the low 30M range within the first few days, aligning with a pattern of more modest week-one totals on the channel compared to breakout hits like the Skyblock or Realistic Minecraft videos that exceeded 60-100M. Factors include typical post-upload decay curves for build-focused Minecraft content versus high-stakes challenges, plus broader platform dynamics where Gaming channel uploads compete for attention without the main MrBeast channel's cross-promotion spikes. With resolution set for September 5 after 168 hours, the market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that retention and daily gains are unlikely to accelerate enough for higher brackets, though a late surge remains possible given MrBeast's established audience.