- 9月7日にロンドンの最低気温は13℃以下になりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は14℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は15℃になるでしょうか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は16℃になりますか？3¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は17°Cになりますか？23¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は18°Cになりますか？78¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は19°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は20°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は21°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は22°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月7日のロンドンの最低気温は23℃以上になりますか？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 7 near 14–17°C, driven by a mild westerly flow of Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling at the surface, and light winds limiting boundary-layer mixing. These conditions have kept early-morning readings from dropping sharply, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward an 18°C or 17°C low. Recent model runs show little change in the steering pattern or moisture profile over the next 12–18 hours, reducing the likelihood of colder outliers below 16°C. Traders appear to be pricing the consensus guidance and limited downside risk from unexpected clear-sky development.