- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は31℃になりますか？1¢
- 9月3日に鄭州の最高気温は32℃以上になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は22°C以下になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は23℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は24°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は25℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は26℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は27℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は28℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は29℃になりますか？>99¢
- 9月3日の鄭州の最高気温は30℃になりますか？11¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Clear, sunny conditions with light northeast winds are positioning 29°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s September 3 high temperature. Multiple forecast sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local reports, consistently project a daily maximum near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F) under stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover. Current midday readings around 26–29°C align with this trajectory, with dew points near 13–14°C supporting efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity. The 85.5% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance around this value, while the 13% for 30°C captures limited upside potential if peak solar heating or wind patterns allow a brief spike. Probabilities drop sharply above 31°C due to the absence of any warm-air advection or blocking patterns in recent analyses. Historical early-September baselines for Zhengzhou (typical highs 26–30°C) further anchor expectations, with no anomalous developments such as heat domes or frontal passages reported in the past 48 hours. Official resolution will depend on the peak reading from the primary Zhengzhou meteorological station, with traders monitoring final afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments for confirmation.