- 9月9日にウェリントンの最高気温は8℃以下になりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は9℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は10℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は11°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は12℃になりますか？2¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は13°Cになりますか？16¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は14℃になりますか？66¢
- 9月9日にウェリントンの最高気温は15°Cになりますか？19¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は16°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は17°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月9日にウェリントンの最高気温は18℃以上になりますか？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C. Spring climatology places the long-term average high near 14°C, and current ridge-influenced conditions have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings to 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest upside potential from delayed frontal passage, while downside risk remains constrained by the mild baseline. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.