- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は23°C以下になるでしょうか？<1¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は24℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は25°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は26℃になりますか？2¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は27℃になりますか？4¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は28℃になりますか？21¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は29℃になりますか？56¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は30℃になりますか？17¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は31°Cになりますか？4¢
- 9月5日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は32°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月5日にソウル（仁川）の最高気温は33℃以上になりますか？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high temperature near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 5, driven by northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, as current runs show afternoon peaks around 28°C with minimal deviation expected from steering patterns and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, while the narrow spread to 30°C (16.5%) reflects minor model uncertainty in cloud cover and wind strength. Updated KMA guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.