- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は11℃以下になりますか？<1¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は12℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は13℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は14°Cになりますか？<1¢
- 9月4日にヘルシンキの最高気温が15℃になりますか？1¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は16°Cになりますか？5¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は17℃になりますか？28¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は18°Cになりますか？51¢
- 9月4日にヘルシンキの最高気温は19°Cになりますか？21¢
- 9月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は20°Cになりますか？1¢
- 9月4日にヘルシンキの最高気温は21℃以上になりますか？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models place Helsinki's September 4 maximum near 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of about 17.5 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5 % implied probability for 18 °C and 28 % for 17 °C appears driven by the latest ensemble runs showing modest daytime warming without strong advection or clear-sky radiative enhancement. Lower probabilities assigned to 19 °C or above indicate limited upside potential from current steering patterns, while sub-16 °C outcomes remain marginal given minimal cold-air intrusion risk before resolution. Updated observational data tomorrow will determine final ranking.