- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は28°C以下になりますか？1¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は29℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は30℃になりますか？3¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は31℃になりますか？6¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は32°Cになりますか？21¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は33℃になりますか？45¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は34℃になりますか？26¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は35℃になりますか？5¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は36°Cになりますか？2¢
- 9月5日の北京の最高気温は37℃になりますか？<1¢
- 9月5日に北京の最高気温は38℃以上になりますか？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will experience partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on September 5 under light southerly flow, supporting daytime heating without significant cloud suppression or precipitation. This setup, typical of early September transitional patterns, favors a peak temperature in the 32–34°C range, consistent with recent observed highs near 31–32°C and climatological baselines for the period. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on maximum values, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting extreme outliers. Traders have weighted probabilities toward 33°C as the mode outcome, reflecting these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of a cooler, rainier shift later in the week.