- 2026年に最も接戦となる上院選挙はアラスカになりますか？3¢
- モンタナ州は2026年の最も接戦の上院選挙になりますか？4¢
- 2026年の上院選挙でコロラド州が最も接戦となりますか？2¢
- 2026年の上院選挙で最も接戦となるのはニューメキシコ州ですか？2¢
- 2026年でテキサス州が最も接戦となる上院選挙になりますか？22¢
- 2026年の上院選挙でネブラスカ州が最も接戦になりますか？13¢
- 2026年でアイオワ州の上院選挙が最も接戦になりますか？24¢
- 2026年の上院選でミネソタ州が最も接戦になりますか？2¢
- 2026年の上院選でミシガン州が最も接戦になるでしょうか？5¢
- 2026年で最も接戦となる上院選挙はオハイオ（特別選挙）になりますか？8¢
- 2026年で最も接戦となる上院選はジョージア州になるでしょうか？2¢
- 2026年で最も接戦となる上院選挙はフロリダ（特別選挙）になりますか？3¢
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.