- 2026年米国下院中間選挙で民主党が得票率で16％以上の差をつけて勝利しますか？1¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で民主党が得票率で14％から16％の差で勝利しますか？3¢
- 民主党は2026年の米国下院中間選挙で得票率を12％から14％の間で上回る勝利を収めるでしょうか？13¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で、民主党が得票率で10%から12%の差で勝利しますか？23¢
- 2026年米国下院中間選挙で民主党が得票率で8％から10％の差で勝利しますか？29¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で、民主党が得票率で6％から8％の差で勝利しますか？19¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で、民主党が一般投票で4%から6%の差で勝利しますか？7¢
- 2026年米国下院中間選挙で、民主党が得票率で2％から4％の差で勝利するでしょうか？6¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で、民主党が一般投票（ポピュラー・ボート）で0％から2％の差で勝利しますか？2¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で共和党が得票率で0%から2%の差で勝利しますか？3¢
- 2026年アメリカ合衆国下院中間選挙で共和党が得票率で2％から4％の差で勝利しますか？3¢
- 共和党は2026年米国下院中間選挙で得票率を4％から6％の間で獲得できるか？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.