- Anthropic avrà il miglior modello di IA su LiveBench (complessivamente) alla fine di settembre 2026?100¢
- OpenAI avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale su LiveBench (Complessivo) alla fine di settembre 2026?0¢
- Meta avrà il miglior modello di IA su LiveBench (Generale) alla fine di settembre 2026?0¢
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
- Google avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale su LiveBench (Nel complesso) alla fine di settembre 2026?0¢
- Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
- Alibaba avrà il miglior modello AI su LiveBench (Complessivo) alla fine di settembre 2026?0¢
- Moonshot avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale su LiveBench (Generale) alla fine di settembre 2026?0¢
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
- Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
- Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?0¢
Anthropic's Claude models, particularly recent Opus and Fable variants, have posted the highest overall scores on LiveBench through superior results in reasoning, coding, mathematics, and agentic tasks, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects verified benchmark leadership amid ongoing competition from OpenAI's GPT-5 series and Google's Gemini updates, with Anthropic benefiting from consistent capability gains and lower contamination risks in the evolving test suite. Key catalysts include official model releases and third-party evaluations confirming frontier performance. Potential challenges remain if unreleased updates from rivals drop in the final hours or if LiveBench applies last-minute methodology tweaks, though historical patterns favor established leaders holding through month-end resolution.
Regole
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”