- Il test di volo 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 30 settembre?100¢100%
- Il Super Heavy della Starship Flight Test 14 di SpaceX esploderà?100¢100%
- La Starship per il Test di Volo 14 di SpaceX Starship riuscirà ad ammarare con successo?100¢100%
- Il volo di prova 14 della Starship di SpaceX sarà lanciato entro il 31 ottobre?100¢100%
- Il test di volo 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 28 settembre?100¢100%
- Il volo di prova 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 29 settembre?100¢100%
- Le bacchette cattureranno il volo di prova 14 di SpaceX Starship?0¢0%
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 decollerà entro il 31 agosto?0¢0%
- Il test di volo 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 15 settembre?0¢0%
- Le bacchette cattureranno il booster Superheavy del test di volo 14 di SpaceX Starship?0¢0%
- Il volo di prova 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 19 settembre?0¢0%
- Il volo di prova 14 di SpaceX Starship verrà lanciato entro il 26 settembre?0¢0%
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Starship Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, when the vehicle completed its first orbital insertion after liftoff from Starbase, Texas, following FAA licensing the prior day. The upper stage deployed 26 operational Starlink V3 satellites—marking the first revenue-generating payload—then executed a deorbit burn and controlled splashdown in the Pacific despite an ascent engine issue that prompted an abbreviated mission. The Super Heavy booster also landed successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Traders are pricing high probabilities for near-term launch and splashdown resolutions based on this demonstrated orbital capability, heat shield performance data, and progress toward reusable operations, with attention now shifting to Flight 15 timelines and potential booster catch attempts.
Regole
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.