- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 15°C il 6 settembre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 17°C il 6 settembre?2¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 22°C il 6 settembre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 24°C o superiore il 6 settembre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 16°C il 6 settembre?1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 21°C il 6 settembre?3¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 23°C il 6 settembre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 14°C o inferiore il 6 settembre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 19°C il 6 settembre?53¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 18°C il 6 settembre?16¢
- La temperatura massima a Varsavia sarà di 20°C il 6 settembre?28¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and real-time observations position 19°C as the leading outcome for Warsaw’s daily maximum temperature on September 6, 2026, with 20°C as a close secondary possibility. Early September climatology in central Poland features moderating westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that typically caps highs in the 18–20°C range after late-summer peaks. Multiple GFS-based and regional forecasts (including hourly runs from Yr and local services) converge on an afternoon maximum of 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle possible; winds from the west at 15–25 km/h further limit warming. Recent model updates through September 5–6 have held steady near this range, with no signals of stronger southerly advection or clearing that would push readings to 21°C or higher. Trader positioning—52.5% on 19°C and 26% on 20°C—reflects this narrow uncertainty band around official station measurements, while lower probabilities on 18°C and below capture downside risks from persistent cloud or rain. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final forecast adjustments will determine resolution within the current tight distribution.