- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 26°C o inferiore il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 27°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 28°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 29°C il 14 ottobre?>99¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 30°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 31°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 32°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 33°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 34°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 35°C il 14 ottobre?<1¢
- La temperatura massima a Tel Aviv sarà di 36°C o superiore il 14 ottobre?<1¢
Trader consensus heavily favors a 29°C high in Tel Aviv on October 14, 2026, reflecting model consensus from GFS and local forecasts showing afternoon peaks near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. Current observations track these projections, with midday readings in the upper 20s Celsius and limited diurnal heating expected from seasonal Mediterranean patterns. Minor uncertainties remain from potential shifts in cloud cover or wind strength that could trim the maximum by 1°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30°C, though official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service indicates stable conditions without significant deviation.
Regole
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.