- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 3?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 3?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 3?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 3?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on September 3, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the seasonal average. Multiple forecast models indicate a high of 27–29 °C (81–84 °F) under overcast skies with 90–99 % probability of precipitation and totals exceeding 15–30 mm. Easterly flow, high humidity (often 85–95 %), and reduced insolation limit surface warming despite typical September climatology of ~30 °C. The closely matched market prices—30 °C at 33.0 % and 29 °C at 31.5 %—reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise peak value. Minor differences in model timing of heaviest rain or brief breaks in cloud cover can shift the observed maximum by 1 °C, while 31 °C (21.5 %) remains plausible if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Lower outcomes below 28 °C carry minimal implied probability because baseline warmth and urban heat effects still anchor readings above 26 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely range around 29–30 °C, consistent with the latest consensus guidance showing widespread showers and limited diurnal temperature rise.