- Mali vs. Spain>99¢
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 5 at 5:30AM ET: If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Mali's decisive 82-73 victory in the FIBA Women's World Cup group stage stems from Spain's pronounced fatigue after a demanding prior outing against Germany, which left the vice-European champions struggling with rest and rhythm. Spain shot just 4-of-22 from three-point range and failed to contain Mali's physical, aggressive style, allowing Sika Koné (19 points, high efficiency) and Djeneba N'Diaye (19 points) to dominate key stretches, including a pivotal third-quarter run. Trader consensus at 99.5% reflects these confirmed developments and the widening margin late in the contest. Even with such elevated implied probability, a late Spain surge led by Iyana Martín or foul trouble for Mali's key contributors could theoretically narrow the gap before final resolution.