- Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Víctor Galicia win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?2¢
- Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?53¢
- Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?26¢
- Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Fernando Castro Trenti win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Evangelina Moreno Guerra win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?9¢
- Will Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?1¢
- Will Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Jorge Ramos Hernández win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?6¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Morena maintains a commanding lead in statewide party preference polls for the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial election, consistently outpacing the PAN by roughly 20 points and positioning the eventual Morena nominee as the frontrunner. Julieta Ramírez Padilla holds the highest support among potential Morena contenders in multiple mid-2026 surveys, reflecting her visibility as a sitting senator and prior federal deputy, while Ismael Burgueño Ruiz trails but benefits from his profile as Tijuana mayor on leave. Other listed aspirants register lower single-digit or fractional shares. The nomination process, expected to conclude via internal selection mechanisms before the June 2027 general election, remains the key near-term variable that could shift probabilities, alongside any further polling movement or procedural developments within the dominant party.