Traders price the "No" outcome at a 98.8% implied probability for Jesus Christ's return before 2027, driven by the complete absence of verifiable prophetic signs, official theological endorsements, or global events matching traditional eschatological narratives in contemporary culture. Major faith institutions continue routine operations without any announcements framing current conditions as fulfillment of end-times criteria, mirroring the long track record of unfulfilled predictions that shapes skeptical trader consensus. Occasional spikes in social media buzz or entertainment portrayals of apocalyptic themes generate fleeting attention but fail to move the market. A realistic upset would demand an unprecedented worldwide development broadly accepted as biblical prophecy, though such a shift appears improbable given the short remaining window and lack of precursors.
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan sebagai «Ya» jika Kedatangan Kedua Yesus Kristus terjadi paling lambat 31 Desember 2026, 23.59 ET. Jika tidak, pasar ini akan diselesaikan dengan hasil “Tidak”. Penyelesaian pasar ini akan didasarkan pada konsensus dari sumber-sumber tepercaya.
Terjemahan mesin. Jika ada perselisihan, teks asli yang berlaku.