- Apakah Kongres akan membatalkan veto apa pun pada 2026?15¢15%
Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced few vetoes, all sustained through party discipline, as seen in the January 2026 House votes that fell short of the two-thirds threshold on infrastructure measures. With narrow GOP majorities and limited legislative confrontation, broad bipartisan coalitions needed for overrides remain absent. Midterm forecasts point to possible Democratic gains in November, yet any shift would affect only the final weeks of 2026 or the subsequent Congress, and historical patterns show overrides are rare absent divided government. Traders reflect this consensus in the elevated implied probability for no successful override by year-end.
Aturan
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan ke Yes jika Kongres AS mengesampingkan veto presiden sebelum 31 Desember 2026 pukul 23.59 ET. Jika tidak, pasar ini akan diselesaikan ke "Tidak". Persetujuan untuk mengesampingkan veto oleh hanya satu kamar Kongres tidak cukup untuk membuat pasar ini diselesaikan ke "Ya". Sumber penyelesaian adalah publikasi resmi pemerintah federal AS (misalnya, Congress.gov); namun, konsensus dari pemberitaan tepercaya juga dapat digunakan.
Terjemahan mesin. Jika ada perselisihan, teks asli yang berlaku.